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Revista de Gastroenterología del Perú

Print version ISSN 1022-5129

Abstract

RUIZ GARCIA, Sandro et al. Predictors of infection and mortality in patients with liver cirrhosis in the high complexity hospital Virgen de la Puerta from Trujillo, Peru. Rev. gastroenterol. Perú [online]. 2019, vol.39, n.1, pp.55-63. ISSN 1022-5129.

Introduction: Liver cirrhosis decompensated due to bacterial infections is one of the main diagnoses of admission to hospitalization, taking into account that the risk per se in it is higher than in non-cirrhotic patients, leading to high mortality rates. Objective: The present study sought to determine the predictors of infection and mortality in patients with liver cirrhosis, as well as the epidemiological-clinical characteristics of patients with cirrhosis. Material and methods: Prospective data were collected from hospitalized cirrhotic patients in the Gastroenterology and Internal Medicine Service of the Hospital High Complexity "Virgen de la Puerta", from 2015 to June 2018. Results: The study included 66 patients. The infection frequency was of 37.88%, being more frequent the spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (21.2%) and the total mortality was of 12.12%. When performing binary logistic regression and ROC curve, the MELD value> 13.5 (p=0.003), TP >18.26 (p=0.003) and the Child Pugh C stage were obtained as predictors of mortality (p=0.02, IC 95% EXP(B) 0.13-0.365). The variables that predict absence of mortality were a platelet value ≥74 500 /mm3 (p=0.01) and sodium ≥133 (p=0.019). The predictors of infection, MELD value ≤14.5 (p=0.0004) and sodium level ≥134.5 (AUC 0.696, p=0.028), to predict absence of infection. Conclusions: High MELD is a predictor of both mortality and infection. Child Pugh C and high values of Prothrombin time are predictors of mortality. The normal sodium level is a predictor of absence of mortality and infection, as well as platelet values discreetly low are predictors of absence of mortality.

Keywords : Liver cirrhosis; Bacterial infections; Mortality.

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