SciELO - Scientific Electronic Library Online

 
vol.20 issue4Body mass index an anthropometric measure associated to index TG/HDL, a novel cardiometabolic risk factorParticipatory communication strategy, basic sanitation and the public health of the population of Paucartambo-Cusco author indexsubject indexarticles search
Home Pagealphabetic serial listing  

Services on Demand

Journal

Article

Indicators

  • Have no cited articlesCited by SciELO

Related links

  • Have no similar articlesSimilars in SciELO

Share


Revista de la Facultad de Medicina Humana

Print version ISSN 1814-5469On-line version ISSN 2308-0531

Abstract

ROJAS, Pedro Fidel Grillo  and  ONOFRE, Roberto Romero. Estimate of the excess of the total deaths reported in 2020 versus the reported deaths from COVID-19 (SARS-CoV2) in Peru during the months of March, April and May 2020. Rev. Fac. Med. Hum. [online]. 2020, vol.20, n.4, pp.646-650. ISSN 1814-5469.  http://dx.doi.org/10.25176/rfmh.v20i4.3220.

Introduction:

Mortality from COVID-19 is increasing, this being a concern for the authorities and the general population.

Objective:

To estimate the existence of an excess of total deaths between the months of March to May 2020 with respect to the number of deaths from COVID-19 reported by the Ministry of Health for COVID-19 and to establish a relationship between the excess of total deaths and the COVID-19 pandemic in Peru.

Methods:

We compared the gap between the National Death System (SINADEF) with the oficial reported deaths from COVID -19 from march 1st to may 31th, 2020; Violent deaths (homicide, suicide, traffic accident; other accidents and unknown deaths) were excluded. To estimate the deaths baseline was used a seasonal linear regression, from January 1st, 2017 to December 31th, 2019 with a 95% confidence intervals. The deaths reported in the National Death System was compared with the baseline deaths. The excess of deaths reported was estimated by “Simple Difference method”.

Results:

The research outcomes showed that the excess of total deaths, from 1st March to 31th may, 2020 is 2.24 times greater than the oficial number of deaths reported by COVID-19.

Conclusion:

The finded differences may be associated directly with a unregistered deaths by COVID-19 and another general death causes related with failures in our Public Health Sistem during the Pandemic period.

Keywords : COVID-19; SARS-CoV-2; Mortality; Pandemics(Source: MeSH NLM)..

        · abstract in Spanish     · text in English | Spanish     · English ( pdf ) | Spanish ( pdf )