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Horizonte Médico (Lima)

Print version ISSN 1727-558X

Horiz. Med. vol.23 no.3 Lima July/Set. 2023  Epub Sep 13, 2023

http://dx.doi.org/10.24265/horizmed.2023.v23n3.03 

Original article

Risk of death from congestive heart failure among Peruvian patients with anemia

Alberto Guevara Tirado*  1  2  , Doctor of Medicine. Master’s degree in Medicine
http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7536-7884

1Universidad de San Martín de Porres, School of Human Medicine. Lima, Peru.

2Universidad Privada del Norte, School of Human Medicine. Lima, Peru.

ABSTRACT

Objective:

To determine the risk of death from underlying congestive heart failure among Peruvian patients with anemia.

Materials and methods:

An observational, descriptive, case-control and retrospective study based on data from the Sistema Informático Nacional de Defunciones (SINADEF National Death Computer System) of the Ministry of Health of Peru (MINSA) and conducted between January 2021 and August 2022. A non-probability purposive convenience sampling was used considering the inclusion and exclusion criteria. All patients with and without anemia who died from congestive heart failure or other comorbidities were included in the research, totaling 35,724 people. The variables were anemia, defined as a condition related to the amount or number of red blood cells and hemoglobin, as well as to iron absorption and availability, and congestive heart failure, defined as the inability of the myocardium to pump blood efficiently. Chi-square test and phi and Cramér's V coefficients were used to determine the presence and degree of association of the variables and the odds ratio for risk estimation. A significant p value less than 0.05 with a 95 % confidence interval was considered.

Results:

Anemia was moderately associated with congestive heart failure: 62.80 % of people with anemia died from this disease. The variables were statistically related and, according to phi and Cramér's V coefficients, there was a moderate relationship. People with anemia had 11.14 times higher risk of dying from congestive heart failure than people with other comorbidities.

Conclusions:

Anemia is associated with high risk of death from underlying heart failure in the Peruvian population. It is necessary to monitor iron, hemoglobin and red blood cell levels among patients with heart failure, as well as to identify the causes of these deficiencies in order to reduce morbidity and mortality in this group of patients.

Keywords: Heart Failure; Anemia; Chronic Disease; Cause of Death; Odds Ratio

Introduction

Congestive heart failure is a condition caused by impaired cardiac pumping 1. It can be caused by ischemic heart diseases, myocardial infarction, hypertension, valvular heart diseases, alcoholism, infections, among others 2. It is a costly and high-mortality disease with a risk of death similar to that of some neoplasms 3. Its prevalence rates are increasing worldwide, thus being considered a global epidemic with 17 million deaths per year 4. It affects approximately 64 million people 5, mainly in developed countries such as the United States, where almost 6 million people and 550,000 new cases per year suffer from this disease 6. However, in developing countries, its occurrence increasingly growing due to the higher rate of life expectancy and diseases such as diabetes, hypertension, dyslipidemia and obesity 7. Its prevalence is increasing in Peru, especially in adults aged over 65 years, with high mortality rates in the first year (70 %) 8.

The adverse role of anemia in heart failure, which leads to a hyperhemodynamic state, has been widely studied 9. In addition, the excess of compensatory cardiac work to provide oxygen to the body affects the sympathetic nervous activity and tone 10, thus contributing to myocardial remodeling 11.

Additionally, it has been suggested that gastrointestinal edema affects iron absorption 12, which is also affected by inflammatory cytokines—including interleukins 1 and 6— together with tumor necrosis factor alpha 13, which promote iron storage in the reticuloendothelial system 14 and affect its utilization. Moreover, interleukin 6 would affect erythropoiesis in the bone marrow 15. On the other hand, it has been observed that folic acid or vitamin B12 deficiency does not significantly contribute to anemia associated with heart failure 16. Likewise, the role of angiotensin II in red blood cell production—either by stimulation of erythropoiesis or by direct effects on erythropoiesis in the bone marrow—has been proposed, although there is still no consensus on this topic 17. The coexistence of heart failure and chronic renal disease increases the risk of anemia; it has been observed that reduced hemoglobin levels are similar to reduced glomerular filtration rates 18. Possible iatrogenic mechanisms such as the use of antithrombotic drugs, which might cause minor gastrointestinal bleeding that could contribute to anemia, have also been proposed 19.

In spite of several studies on the influence of anemia on morbidity and mortality in heart failure, there is no agreement on the prognostic value of this disease 20. Research on congestive heart failure in Peru, mainly aimed at understanding the clinical course of the disease, has increased in the last 20 years 21. Therefore, the objective of the present research is to determine the risk of death from congestive heart failure among patients with anemia. This will allow us to establish its impact on mortality among patients with low red blood cell count: an issue that is still in search of consensus in the international medical community and that has been little researched in the Peruvian population.

Materials and methods

Study design and population

A descriptive, cross-sectional, retrospective, case-control study consisting of all deceased patients between January 2021 and August 2022 whose comorbidity was anemia and whose cause of death was divided into congestive heart failure and other conditions, according to the database of deaths of the Sistema Informático Nacional de Defunciones (SINADEF National Death Computer System) of the Ministry of Health of Peru (MINSA). No formula was employed, since the entire available population—totaling 35,724 deceased patients—was studied. A purposive, nonprobability, convenience sampling was used based on the inclusion and exclusion criteria. People with or without anemia registered in SINADEF were included, as well as those who mainly died from congestive heart failure and also from other comorbidities. Moreover, subjects with no study variables or with incomplete data, as well as individuals whose immediate cause of death or comorbidity was suspected, confirmed or related to COVID-19 disease, were excluded.

Variables and measurements

One variable was anemia, defined as a condition related to the amount or number of red blood cells and hemoglobin, as well as iron absorption and availability 22; no distinction was made according to the type or origin. The other variable was congestive heart failure, defined as the inability of the myocardium to pump blood efficiently 23. A documentary analysis was performed, as the database records were reviewed to screen the cases relevant to the research.

Statistical analysis

IBM SPSS (Statistical Package for Social Sciences) Statistics V25 for Windows was used. Regarding the analytical statistics, the following tests were performed: Pearson’s chi-square test to assess the statistical association, phi and Cramér's V correlation coefficients to determine the degree of association, and the odds ratio to establish the risk of death from vascular disease in the group of patients with anemia (cases) and patients without anemia with other comorbidities (controls) in comparison with a group that died from congestive heart failure and a group that did not die from this condition. The findings were measured at a significant p value less than 0.05 with a 95 % confidence interval.

Ethical considerations

The open-access database did not include personal data; therefore, encoded data was stored anonymously.

Results

Congestive heart failure was the immediate cause of death in 62.80 % of patients with anemia in contrast to 13.20 % of those who died without recorded anemia (Table 1).

Table 1 Contingency table of the relationship between anemia and death from congestive heart failure 

Death from congestive heart failure
Yes No Total
With anemia n 630 373 1003
% 62.8 37.2 100
Without anemia n 4,571 30,150 34,721
% 13.2 86.8 100
Total N 5,201 30,523 35,724
% 14.6 85.4 100

The variables were statistically related and, according to phi and Cramér's V correlation coefficients, there was a moderate relationship. People with anemia had 11.14 times higher risk of dying from underlying congestive heart failure (Table 2).

Table 2 Degree of association and risk of death from congestive heart failure among Peruvian patients with anemia 

N OR 95 % CI Phi Cramér's p
Anemia-CHF 35,724 11.14 9.76-12.71 0.23 0.23 0

CHF: congestive heart failure; N: number; OR: odds ratio; CI: confidence interval; p: asymptotic significance.

Source: self-elaboration.

Discussion

Anemia was moderately and positively associated with death from congestive heart failure, and the rate of death was high compared with that of patients with comorbidities other than anemia. This agrees with Abebe et al. who, in a study on the prevalence of anemia among patients with heart failure and on the outcomes of patients with severe heart failure with and without anemia admitted to a hospital in Ethiopia, found a prevalence of 45 % of patients with anemia and heart failure 24. Ikama et al., in a study on the prevalence of anemia among patients with heart failure conducted in a university hospital in Congo, estimated a prevalence of 42 % 25. Cleland et al., in a study on the prevalence and outcome of anemia and hematinic deficiencies

among patients with chronic heart failure, found that 68 % of the patients had anemia and congestive heart failure 26. In general, the actual frequency of anemia among patients with heart failure depends on the definition and ranges according to the particular population and demographics of each country. The cut-off point for delimiting normal values and anemia is the one defined by the World Health Organization (WHO) 27, which is a generalized value that does not consider a specific adjustment for congestive heart failure; i.e., the definition of anemia by the WHO has not been validated for patients with congestive heart failure.

Patients with anemia had a high risk of dying from underlying heart failure. The results agree with the study by Casas et

al. who, in an article on anemia as a predictor of heart failure mortality in a hospital in Lima, Peru, found 2.82 times higher probability of death from congestive heart failure in those who had anemia 28. Armas et al., in an article aimed to determine the association between anemia and cardiovascular mortality 30 days after admission for heart failure in an emergency hospital in Peru, found 3 times higher risk of death in the presence of anemia 29. Romero et al., in a study on anemia as a risk factor for mortality among patients with heart failure hospitalized in Trujillo, Peru, found 5 times higher risk of death among patients with anemia 30. The preceding research works agreed that a relationship exists. However, the absolute and relative risks were lower than those found in the present study, where there was an 11 times higher absolute risk of death. This could be due to the methodological design and the sample size of this research since it consisted of a population of 35,724 people, out of whom 1,003 had anemia, compared to the abovementioned studies whose sample size was around 100 patients.

The limitations of this study were related to the methodological design: there was no sample calculation since the entire available population was included in the research based on the inclusion criteria; i.e., convenience sampling was used. Moreover, due to the nature of the data source, it is possible that there were other comorbidities in addition to anemia and heart failure which were not recorded in the SINADEF and could have caused complications and accelerated death.

In conclusion, anemia increases the risk of death from congestive heart failure in the Peruvian population. It is necessary to monitor iron, hemoglobin and red blood cell levels among patients with heart failure, as well as to identify the causes of these deficiencies, in order to reduce morbidity and mortality associated with congestive heart failure in this group of patients.

Acknowledgements: We thank MINSA’s SINADEF, whose open-access website data allowed the development of this research.

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Funding sources: The article was funded by the author.

Received: February 20, 2023; Revised: March 21, 2023; Accepted: April 11, 2023

Corresponding author: Alberto Guevara Tirado Address: Calle Doña Delmira manzana E lote 4, Urbanización Los Rosales, Santiago de Surco. Lima, Perú. Telephone: +51 978 459 469 E-mail: albertoguevara1986@gmail.com

Author contributions: The author developed, wrote and reviewed this research study.

Conflicts of interest: The author declares no conflicts of interest.

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